Genedec - European Program

Genedec is aimed at providing insights into the workability, the efficiency and the impacts of various scenarios of decoupling, so as to provide the Commission with recommendations and alternative options to improve such a system. This study will be useful for the future negotiations with current and new Member States, as well as in the perspective of the going-on WTO negotiations.

  • Scenarios will be based on MTR proposal and existing decoupling schemes. First analysed through expert interviews, ex post statistical analysis and literature review.
    Specifically, the project addresses quantitative assessments of the impacts of decoupled support schemes on production, land use and land prices and their implications for farm incomes and the future structural development of farms.
    Special attention is also paid to efficiency, welfare effects and administrative and implementation issues, including environmental and social concerns.

  • The modelling used has recourse to linear programming and positive mathematical programming, through the use of a set of micro-oriented farm-level models, implemented with European databases such as FADN.
    Existing models are further developed to tackle quotas, premium entitlements and land markets and are connected to each other thanks to shadow prices. This requires the harmonisation of models and software, which enables results aggregation at a sector level and as different scales (region, state, EU).

  • Interdependencies with world markets can be dealt with by coupling farm level and partial equilibrium models in a recursive manner.

  • As for environmental aspects and structural changes, they will be addressed both quantitatively and qualitatively.

  • Finally, the quantitative ex ante assessment will be validated by experts and sociological studies.
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